Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000532 0.000615 0.000704 0.000806 0.000919 0.001040 0.001178
2025-06-29 0.000395 0.000508 0.000637 0.000796 0.000984 0.001197 0.001455
2025-07-06 0.000318 0.000440 0.000589 0.000779 0.001014 0.001291 0.001639
2025-07-13 0.000276 0.000407 0.000575 0.000798 0.001082 0.001427 0.001873
2025-07-20 0.000241 0.000378 0.000559 0.000809 0.001138 0.001547 0.002086
2025-07-27 0.000206 0.000343 0.000532 0.000801 0.001164 0.001627 0.002251
2025-08-03 0.000175 0.000310 0.000502 0.000786 0.001179 0.001692 0.002395
2025-08-10 0.000157 0.000292 0.000492 0.000795 0.001225 0.001796 0.002591
2025-08-17 0.000138 0.000272 0.000477 0.000796 0.001258 0.001883 0.002765
2025-08-24 0.000117 0.000243 0.000446 0.000770 0.001252 0.001914 0.002865
2025-08-31 0.000098 0.000219 0.000418 0.000746 0.001245 0.001945 0.002963
2025-09-07 0.000087 0.000204 0.000405 0.000744 0.001269 0.002016 0.003118
2025-09-14 0.000076 0.000190 0.000392 0.000742 0.001294 0.002091 0.003281
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000174 0.000375 0.000731 0.001306 0.002147 0.003419
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000159 0.000356 0.000716 0.001308 0.002189 0.003537
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000154 0.000356 0.000733 0.001361 0.002306 0.003765
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000148 0.000353 0.000744 0.001405 0.002411 0.003976
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000137 0.000340 0.000736 0.001417 0.002467 0.004117
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000126 0.000324 0.000722 0.001419 0.002507 0.004235
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000121 0.000321 0.000731 0.001458 0.002605 0.004441
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000114 0.000314 0.000731 0.001484 0.002682 0.004616
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000102 0.000295 0.000707 0.001465 0.002690 0.004686
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000092 0.000277 0.000685 0.001449 0.002700 0.004758